Multimorbidity and use of health services in a population diagnosed with COVID-19 in a municipality in the Southern Region of Brazil, 2020-2021: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess association between multimorbidity and use of health services in a population diagnosed with COVID-19, in southern Brazil. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study with data from a longitudinal study carried out in the city of Rio Grande, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, in 2021 with all adult individuals diagnosed with COVID-19; descriptive analyses were performed and presented as proportions with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI); Poisson regression was performed and reported as prevalence ratios (PR) in order to assess association between multimorbidity (3 or more diseases) and healthcare service use. RESULTS: In total, 2,919 participants were included, of which 40.4% had multimorbidity (≥ 2 diseases); the adjusted results showed that individuals with multimorbidity were more likely to use most of the services assessed, PR = 3.21 (95%CI 1.40;7.37), for Emergency Rooms. CONCLUSION: Multimorbidity was associated with using different types of health services.

Multimorbidity and use of health services in a population diagnosed with COVID-19 in a municipality in the Southern Region of Brazil, 2020-2021: a cross-sectional study / Multimorbilidad y uso de servicios de salud en una población diagnosticada con covid-19 en un municipio de la región sur de Brasil, 2020-2021: estudio transversal / Multimorbidade e uso de serviços de saúde em população diagnosticada com covid-19 em município da região Sul do Brasil, 2020-2021: estudo transversal

Abstract Objective: To assess association between multimorbidity and use of health services in a population diagnosed with COVID-19, in southern Brazil. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study with data from a longitudinal study carried out in the city of Rio Grande, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, in 2021 with all adult individuals diagnosed with COVID-19; descriptive analyses were performed and presented as proportions with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI); Poisson regression was performed and reported as prevalence ratios (PR) in order to assess association between multimorbidity (3 or more diseases) and healthcare service use. Results: In total, 2,919 participants were included, of which 40.4% had multimorbidity (≥ 2 diseases); the adjusted results showed that individuals with multimorbidity were more likely to use most of the services assessed, PR = 3.21 (95%CI 1.40;7.37), for Emergency Rooms. Conclusion: Multimorbidity was associated with using different types of health services.

Resumen Objetivo: Analizar la asociación entre multimorbilidad y uso de servicios de salud en una población diagnosticada con COVID-19, en el Sur de Brasil. Métodos: Estudio transversal con datos de un estudio longitudinal realizado en la ciudad de Río Grande, Rio Grande do Sul, Brasil, en el año 2021, con todos los individuos adultos diagnosticados con COVID-19; se realizaron análisis descriptivos y se presentaron como proporciones con intervalos de confianza del 95% (IC95%); se realizó una regresión de Poisson y se informó como razón de prevalencia (PR). Resultados: En total se incluyeron 2.919 participantes, de los cuales el 40,4% presentaba multimorbilidad (≥ 2 doenças); los resultados ajustados mostraron que los individuos con multimorbilidad tenían mayor probabilidad de utilizar la mayoría de los servicios evaluados, RP = 3,21 (IC95% 1,40;7,37) para unidades Primeros auxilios. Conclusión: La multimorbilidad se asoció con el uso de diferentes tipos de servicios de salud.

Resumo Objetivo: Analisar a associação entre multimorbidade e uso de serviços de saúde em uma população diagnosticada com covid-19, no Sul do Brasil. Métodos: Estudo transversal, utilizando-se dados de um estudo longitudinal realizado na cidade de Rio Grande, estado do Rio Grande do Sul, Brasil, em 2021, com todos os indivíduos adultos diagnosticados com covid-19; análises descritivas foram realizadas e apresentadas como proporções com intervalos de confiança de 95% (IC95%); a regressão de Poisson foi realizada e relatada como razão de prevalências (RP), para avaliar a associação entre multimorbidade e utilização de serviços de saúde. Resultados: Dos 2.919 participantes, 40,4% apresentavam multimorbidade (≥ 2 doenças); os resultados ajustados mostraram que indivíduos com multimorbidade (3 ou mais doenças) apresentaram maior probabilidade de utilização da maioria dos serviços avaliados (RP = 3,21; IC95% 1,40;7,37) em unidades de pronto-socorro. Conclusão: A multimorbidade esteve associada à utilização de diferentes tipos de serviços de saúde.

[Contextual characteristics and demand for health services among Brazilian adolescents: Brazilian National Health Survey, 2019]. / Características contextuais e procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes brasileiros: Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2019.

This study aimed to describe the prevalence of demand for health services among Brazilian adolescents and to investigate its association with contextual characteristics of the territory. Study with data from the Brazilian National Health Survey, conducted in 2019, including 43,774 individuals aged from 10 to 19 years. Adolescent's information was obtained through a proxy resident of 18 years or more who answered for all the residents of the household. Poisson regression was used to assess the demand for health services according to geopolitical region, economic status, and type of municipality. The interaction of the health insurance was also evaluated in these associations. Of the total, 11.7% (95%CI: 11.1; 12.3) of the adolescents sought health services in the two weeks prior to the survey. Greater figures of demand were observed in the Southeast (PR = 1.32; 95%CI: 1.15; 1.52) and South regions (PR = 1.31; 95%CI: 1.13; 1.52) compared to the Northern Region of Brazil. Having a health insurance increased the demand for services by adolescents living in rural areas and in capitals and the municipalities of the Metropolitan Areas and/or Integrated Development Regions. The study showed a low prevalence of demand for health services among adolescents and contextual inequalities for the geopolitical region. Having a health insurance was an important marker to understand the disparities in the economic status and in the type of municipality.

Os objetivos foram descrever a prevalência de procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes brasileiros e investigar sua associação com características contextuais do território. O estudo utilizou dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde de 2019, realizada com 43.774 indivíduos de 10 a 19 anos. A informação do adolescente foi obtida por meio de um morador proxy de 18 anos ou mais que respondia por si e por todos os moradores da casa. A regressão de Poisson foi utilizada para avaliar a procura por serviços de saúde de acordo com região geopolítica, situação censitária e tipo de município. Também foi avaliada a interação da variável "plano de saúde" nessas associações. Do total, 11,7% (IC95%: 11,1; 12,3) dos adolescentes procuraram serviços de saúde nas duas semanas anteriores à pesquisa. Maiores prevalências de procura foram observadas nas regiões Sudeste (RP = 1,32; IC95%: 1,15; 1,52) e Sul (RP = 1,31; IC95%: 1,13; 1,52) em comparação à Região Norte do país. O acesso a plano de saúde aumentou a busca pelos serviços por adolescentes residentes nas áreas rurais e nas capitais e municípios das Regiões Metropolitanas e/ou Regiões Integradas de Desenvolvimento. O estudo evidenciou baixa prevalência de procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes e desigualdades contextuais para a região geopolítica. Ter plano de saúde foi um marcador importante para entender as disparidades na situação censitária e no tipo de município.

El objetivo de este estudio fue estimar la prevalencia de la demanda de servicios de salud entre los adolescentes brasileños e investigar su asociación con las características contextuales del territorio. Estudio con datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud, realizada en 2019 con 43.774 individuos de entre 10 y 19 años de edad. La información del adolescente se obtuvo de un residente proxy de 18 años o más que era responsable de sí mismo y de todos los residentes de la casa. La regresión de Poisson se utilizó para evaluar la demanda de servicios de salud según la región geopolítica, la situación en el censo y el tipo de municipio. También se evaluó la interacción de la variable seguro médico en estas asociaciones. Del total, el 11,7% (IC95%: 11,1; 12,3) de los adolescentes buscaron servicios de salud en las dos semanas previas a la encuesta. Se observó mayor prevalencia de demanda en las regiones Sudeste (RP = 1,32; IC95%: 1,15; 1,52) y Sur (RP = 1,31; IC95%: 1,13; 1,52) en comparación con el Norte del país. Tener un seguro médico incrementó la búsqueda de servicios por parte de los adolescentes que viven en áreas rurales y en las capitales y municipios de de las Regiones Metropolitanas y/o Regiones de Desarrollo Integrado. El estudio apuntó a una baja prevalencia de demanda de servicios de salud entre los adolescentes y desigualdades contextuales según la región geopolítica. Tener un seguro médico fue un marcador importante para comprender las disparidades según la situación del censo y el tipo de municipio.

Multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity in Brazilians with severe obesity.

To investigate the prevalence of multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity and their association with sociodemographic and health variables in individuals with severe obesity. This is a baseline data analysis of 150 individuals with severe obesity (body mass index ≥ 35.0 kg/m2) aged 18-65 years. The outcomes were multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity. Sociodemographic, lifestyle, anthropometric and self-perceived health data were collected. Poisson multiple regression was conducted to identify multimorbidity risk factors. The frequency of two or more morbidities was 90.7%, three or more morbidities was 76.7%, and complex multimorbidity was 72.0%. Living with four or more household residents was associated with ≥ 3 morbidities and complex multimorbidity. Fair and very poor self-perceived health was associated with ≥ 2 morbidities, ≥ 3 morbidities and complex multimorbidity. A higher BMI range (45.0-65.0 kg/m2) was associated with ≥ 2 morbidities and ≥ 3 morbidities. Anxiety (82.7%), varicose veins of lower limbs (58.7%), hypertension (56.0%) were the most frequent morbidities, as well as the pairs and triads including them. The prevalence of multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity in individuals with severe obesity was higher and the risk for multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity increased in individuals living in households of four or more residents, with fair or poor/very poor self-perceived health and with a higher BMI.

Associations of hospitalisation - admission, readmission and length to stay - with multimorbidity patterns by age and sex in adults and older adults: the ELSI-Brazil study.

BACKGROUND: Although the association between multimorbidity (MM) and hospitalisation is known, the different effects of MM patterns by age and sex in this outcome needs to be elucidated. Our study aimed to analyse the association of hospitalisations' variables (occurrence, readmission, length of stay) and patterns of multimorbidity (MM) according to sex and age. METHODS: Data from 8.807 participants aged ≥ 50 years sourced from the baseline of the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSI-Brazil) were analysed. Multimorbidity was defined as ≥ 2 (MM2) and ≥ 3 (MM3) chronic conditions. Poisson regression was used to verify the association between the independent variables and hospitalisation according to sex and age group. Multiple linear regression models were constructed for the outcomes of readmission and length of stay. Ising models were used to estimate the networks of diseases and MM patterns. RESULTS: Regarding the risk of hospitalisation among those with MM2, we observed a positive association with male sex, age ≥ 75 years and women aged ≥ 75 years. For MM3, there was a positive association with hospitalisation among males. For the outcomes hospital readmission and length of stay, we observed a positive association with male sex and women aged ≥ 75 years. Network analysis identified two groups that are more strongly associated with occurrence of hospitalisation: the cardiovascular-cancer-glaucoma-cataract group stratified by sex and the neurodegenerative diseases-renal failure-haemorrhagic stroke group stratified by age group. CONCLUSION: We conclude that the association between hospitalisation, readmission, length of stay, and MM changes when sex and age group are considered. Differences were identified in the MM patterns associated with hospitalisation according to sex and age group.

Association of Sleep Duration and Use of Sleeping Medication with Multimorbidity in Adults: Results from the PAMPA (Brazil) Cohort Study.

Objective To analyze the association of sleep duration and use of sleeping medication with multimorbidity. Materials and Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the Prospective Study about Mental and Physical Health (PAMPA) cohort. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more conditions from a list of twelve health problems. Descriptive analyses were performed considering proportion and its 95% confidence interval (95%CI). We performed logistic regression (to obtain odds ratios, ORs) to estimate the associations, including models adjusted for confounding factors. Results In total, 2,936 participants were included, 79,1% of them women, 54.2% aged between 18 and 39 years, and 88.9% with white skin color. Compared with regular sleep (seven to eight hours a day), five hours or less of sleep increased the odds of multimorbidity by 145% (95%CI: 1.90-3.14), and 9 hours or more of sleep increased the odds by 49% (95%CI: 1.14-1.95) for the crude model; the results remained significant even in the adjusted models. Discussion Consumption of sleeping medication was associated with multimorbidity. Short and prolonged sleep duration increased the odds of multimorbidity, regardless of the sociodemographic and behavior characteristics. The regular use of sleeping medication was also associated with multimorbidity. The results of the present study are important but require caution due to reverse causality, and longitudinal studies are needed to confirm the findings.

Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in Pelotas: design and baseline results.

OBJETIVO: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. METHODS: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. RESULTS: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. CONCLUSION: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.

Overweight, obesity and risk of multimorbidity: A systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies.

This study aimed to review and quantify the association between overweight and obesity in the risk of multimorbidity among the general population. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis in the databases of Pubmed, Lilacs, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase. We included cohort studies that assessed the association between overweight and/or obesity with the risk of multimorbidity. The Newcastle-Ottawa assessed the studies' individual quality. A random-effect model meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the association between overweight and obesity with the relative risk (RR) of multimorbidity; the I2 test evaluated heterogeneity. After excluding duplicates, we found 1.655 manuscripts, of which eight met the inclusion criteria. Of these, seven (87.5%) evidenced an increased risk of multimorbidity among subjects with overweight and/or obesity. Overall, we observed an increased risk of multimorbidity among subjects with overweight (RR: 1.26; CI95%: 1.12; 1.40, I2 = 98%) and obesity (RR: 1.99; CI95%: 1.45;2.72, I2 = 99%) compared to normal weight. According to the I2 test, the heterogeneities of the meta-analyses were high. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale showed that all studies were classified as high quality. Further longitudinal studies are needed, including different populations and stratifications by sex, age, and other variables.

Avaliação de risco dos pés de pessoas com diabetes mellitus residentes de um bairro de Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul, Brasil / Prevalence and risk classification of feet with diabetic neuropathy mellitus in residents of a neighborhood of Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil / Prevalencia y clasificación de riesgo de pies con neuropatía diabética mellitus en residentes de un barrio de Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul, Brasil

Introdução: O Diabetes Mellitus pode ocasionar inúmeras complicações crônicas ao longo do tempo. Dentre elas, destaca-se a neuropatia diabética que compreende um conjunto de doenças que atinge as fibras nervosas. Este estudo tem como objetivo descrever o grau de risco dos pés de pessoas com Diabetes Mellitus que utilizam insulina, residentes em um bairro da zona urbana de Pelotas, RS. Materiais e métodos: Trata-se de um estudo quantitativo descritivo. A coleta de dados ocorreu na zona norte da cidade de Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul. A coleta de dados foi realizada na residência dos participantes, entre maio e junho de 2017, contou com a participação de 39 pessoas com pés com neuropatia por Diabetes Mellitus. Resultados: Os entrevistados tinham, predominantemente diabetes tipo 2, perfazendo 89,7%, sendo o tempo de diagnóstico, com o mínimo de 3 anos, até 40 anos de evolução da doença. Sobre a avaliação da neuropatia diabética, 43,6% apresentam dor ao caminhar. Dormência e perda de sensibilidade foi mencionado por 41%. Conclusão: Foi possível elencar o grau de risco para complicações nos pés de usuários com Diabetes Mellitus, esse achado demonstra a importância que as equipes de saúde têm na prevenção de doenças, assim como na promoção da saúde, evitando as ulcerações e posteriores, amputações.

Introduction: Diabetes Mellitus can cause numerous chronic complications over time. Among them, diabetic neuropathy stands out, which comprises a set of diseases that affect the nerve fibers. This study aims to describe the degree of risk of the feet of people with Diabetes Mellitus who use insulin, living in a neighborhood in the urban area of Pelotas, RS. Materials and methods: This is a descriptive quantitative study. Data collection took place in the northern part of the city of Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul. Data collection was carried out at the participants' homes, between May and June 2017, with the participation of 39 people with feet with Diabetes Mellitus neuropathy. Results: Respondents had predominantly type 2 diabetes, accounting for 89.7%, with the time since diagnosis, with a minimum of 3 years, up to 40 years of disease evolution. Regarding the assessment of diabetic neuropathy, 43.6% present pain when walking. Numbness and loss of sensation was mentioned by 41%. Conclusions: It was possible to list the degree of risk for complications in the feet of users with Diabetes Mellitus, this finding demonstrates the importance that health teams have in preventing diseases, as well as in promoting health, avoiding ulcerations and subsequent amputations.

Introducción: La Diabetes Mellitus puede causar numerosas complicaciones crónicas con el tiempo. Entre ellas destaca la neuropatía diabética, que comprende un conjunto de enfermedades que afectan a las fibras nerviosas. Este estudio tiene como objetivo describir el grado de riesgo de los pies de personas con Diabetes Mellitus usuarias de insulina, residentes en un barrio del área urbana de Pelotas, RS. Materiales y Métodos: Se trata de un estudio cuantitativo descriptivo. La recolección de datos ocurrió en la zona norte de la ciudad de Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul. La recolección de datos se realizó en los domicilios de los participantes, entre mayo y junio de 2017, con la participación de 39 personas con pies con neuropatía Diabética Mellitus. Resultados: Los encuestados tenían predominantemente diabetes tipo 2, representando el 89,7%, con el tiempo desde el diagnóstico, con un mínimo de 3 años, hasta los 40 años de evolución de la enfermedad. En cuanto a la valoración de la neuropatía diabética, el 43,6% presenta dolor al caminar. El 41% mencionó entumecimiento y pérdida de sensibilidad. Conclusiones: Se pudo enumerar el grado de riesgo de complicaciones en los pies de los usuarios con Diabetes Mellitus, este hallazgo demuestra la importancia que tienen los equipos de salud en la prevención de enfermedades, así como en la promoción de la salud, evitando ulceraciones y posteriores amputaciones.

Intake of ultra-processed foods and sleep-related outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The aim of this review article was to evaluate the association between the intake of ultra-processed foods and sleep-related outcomes through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Pubmed, LILACS, Scielo, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science were searched on December 31, 2021, for studies that evaluated the association between ultra-processed foods and sleep-related outcomes (self-reported sleep duration and quality). Pooled odds ratios were assessed through a random-effects model; heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic. Fifteen cross-sectional studies were included; 14 showed that the high intake of ultra-processed foods was statistically significantly associated with sleep-related outcomes (sleep duration and quality). In the crude analysis, compared with low intake, high intake of ultra-processed foods increased the odds of sleep-related outcomes, with increased odds among children and/or adolescents, and null results among adults. When adjusted for cofounders, we found statistically significant results for all ages. The high intake of ultra-processed foods was associated with sleep-related outcomes, with moderate credibility of the evidence. Longitudinal studies and clinical trials confirming these findings are necessary.

Características contextuais e procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes brasileiros: Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2019 / Contextual characteristics and demand for health services among Brazilian adolescents: Brazilian National Health Survey, 2019 / Características contextuales y demanda de servicios de salud entre adolescentes brasileños: Encuesta Nacional de Salud, 2019

Resumo: Os objetivos foram descrever a prevalência de procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes brasileiros e investigar sua associação com características contextuais do território. O estudo utilizou dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde de 2019, realizada com 43.774 indivíduos de 10 a 19 anos. A informação do adolescente foi obtida por meio de um morador proxy de 18 anos ou mais que respondia por si e por todos os moradores da casa. A regressão de Poisson foi utilizada para avaliar a procura por serviços de saúde de acordo com região geopolítica, situação censitária e tipo de município. Também foi avaliada a interação da variável "plano de saúde" nessas associações. Do total, 11,7% (IC95%: 11,1; 12,3) dos adolescentes procuraram serviços de saúde nas duas semanas anteriores à pesquisa. Maiores prevalências de procura foram observadas nas regiões Sudeste (RP = 1,32; IC95%: 1,15; 1,52) e Sul (RP = 1,31; IC95%: 1,13; 1,52) em comparação à Região Norte do país. O acesso a plano de saúde aumentou a busca pelos serviços por adolescentes residentes nas áreas rurais e nas capitais e municípios das Regiões Metropolitanas e/ou Regiões Integradas de Desenvolvimento. O estudo evidenciou baixa prevalência de procura por serviços de saúde entre adolescentes e desigualdades contextuais para a região geopolítica. Ter plano de saúde foi um marcador importante para entender as disparidades na situação censitária e no tipo de município.

Abstract: This study aimed to describe the prevalence of demand for health services among Brazilian adolescents and to investigate its association with contextual characteristics of the territory. Study with data from the Brazilian National Health Survey, conducted in 2019, including 43,774 individuals aged from 10 to 19 years. Adolescent's information was obtained through a proxy resident of 18 years or more who answered for all the residents of the household. Poisson regression was used to assess the demand for health services according to geopolitical region, economic status, and type of municipality. The interaction of the health insurance was also evaluated in these associations. Of the total, 11.7% (95%CI: 11.1; 12.3) of the adolescents sought health services in the two weeks prior to the survey. Greater figures of demand were observed in the Southeast (PR = 1.32; 95%CI: 1.15; 1.52) and South regions (PR = 1.31; 95%CI: 1.13; 1.52) compared to the Northern Region of Brazil. Having a health insurance increased the demand for services by adolescents living in rural areas and in capitals and the municipalities of the Metropolitan Areas and/or Integrated Development Regions. The study showed a low prevalence of demand for health services among adolescents and contextual inequalities for the geopolitical region. Having a health insurance was an important marker to understand the disparities in the economic status and in the type of municipality.

Resumen: El objetivo de este estudio fue estimar la prevalencia de la demanda de servicios de salud entre los adolescentes brasileños e investigar su asociación con las características contextuales del territorio. Estudio con datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud, realizada en 2019 con 43.774 individuos de entre 10 y 19 años de edad. La información del adolescente se obtuvo de un residente proxy de 18 años o más que era responsable de sí mismo y de todos los residentes de la casa. La regresión de Poisson se utilizó para evaluar la demanda de servicios de salud según la región geopolítica, la situación en el censo y el tipo de municipio. También se evaluó la interacción de la variable seguro médico en estas asociaciones. Del total, el 11,7% (IC95%: 11,1; 12,3) de los adolescentes buscaron servicios de salud en las dos semanas previas a la encuesta. Se observó mayor prevalencia de demanda en las regiones Sudeste (RP = 1,32; IC95%: 1,15; 1,52) y Sur (RP = 1,31; IC95%: 1,13; 1,52) en comparación con el Norte del país. Tener un seguro médico incrementó la búsqueda de servicios por parte de los adolescentes que viven en áreas rurales y en las capitales y municipios de de las Regiones Metropolitanas y/o Regiones de Desarrollo Integrado. El estudio apuntó a una baja prevalencia de demanda de servicios de salud entre los adolescentes y desigualdades contextuales según la región geopolítica. Tener un seguro médico fue un marcador importante para comprender las disparidades según la situación del censo y el tipo de municipio.

Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in Pelotas: design and baseline results / Uso serviços de serviços de urgência e emergência e Inteligência Artificial em Pelotas: protocolo e resultados iniciais

RESUMO Objetivo: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. Methods: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. Results: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. Conclusion: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.

RESUMO Objetivo: Descrever os resultados iniciais da linha de base de um estudo de base populacional, bem como um protocolo para avaliar o desempenho de diferentes algoritmos de aprendizado de máquina, com o objetivo de predizer a demanda de serviços de urgência e emergência em uma amostra representativa de adultos da zona urbana de Pelotas, no Sul do Brasil. Métodos: O estudo intitula-se "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Entre setembro e dezembro de 2021, foi realizada uma linha de base com os participantes. Está previsto um acompanhamento após 12 meses para avaliar a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no último ano. Em seguida, serão testados algoritmos de machine learning para predizer a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no período de um ano. Resultados: No total, 5.722 participantes responderam à pesquisa, a maioria do sexo feminino (66,8%), com idade média de 50,3 anos. O número médio de pessoas no domicílio foi de 2,6. A maioria da amostra tem cor da pele branca e ensino fundamental incompleto ou menos. Cerca de 30% da amostra estava com obesidade, 14% com diabetes e 39% eram hipertensos. Conclusão: O presente trabalho apresentou um protocolo descrevendo as etapas que foram e serão tomadas para a produção de um modelo capaz de prever a demanda por serviços de urgência e emergência em um ano entre moradores de Pelotas, no estado do Rio Grande do Sul.

Education and income-related inequalities in multimorbidity among older Brazilian adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the existence of socioeconomic inequalities related to the prevalence of multimorbidity in the Brazilian population aged 60 and older. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study with data from the last Brazilian National Health Survey (PNS) collected in 2019. Multimorbidity was the dependent variable and was defined as the presence of two or more chronic diseases. All the diseases were assessed based on a self-reported previous medical diagnosis. Education and per capita family income were the measures of socioeconomic position. Socioeconomic inequalities related to multimorbidity were assessed using two complex measures of inequality; the Slope Index of Inequality (SII) and the Concentration Index (CI). RESULTS: The prevalence of multimorbidity in Brazil was 56.5% 95% CI (55.4; 57.6) and varied from 46.9% (44.3; 49.6) in the North region to 59.3% (57.0; 61.5) in the South region. In general, individuals with higher socioeconomic positions had a lower prevalence of multimorbidity. Significant absolute and relative income inequalities were observed in the South region [SII -9.0; CI -0.054], Southeast [SII -9.8; CI -0.06], and Middle-east [SII -10.4; CI -0.063]. Absolute and relative education inequalities were significant for the country and two of its regions (Southeast [SII -12.7; CI -0.079] and South [SII -19.0; CI -0.109]). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of multimorbidity is high in Brazil and all of its macro-regions. The significant findings concerning the inequalities suggest that the distribution of this condition is more concentrated among those with lower education and income.

Association between multimorbidity and hospitalization in older adults: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity is defined as the presence of multiple chronic conditions in the same individual. Multimorbidity is more prevalent in older adults and can lead to several adverse health outcomes. METHODS: We systematically reviewed evidence from observational studies to verify the association between multimorbidity and hospitalization in older adults. Furthermore, we also aimed to identify whether it changes according to gender, advanced age, institutionalization, and wealth of the country of residence. We searched the PubMed, Embase and Scopus databases from December 2020 to April 2021. The analysed outcomes were as follows: hospitalization, length of stay and hospital readmission. RESULTS: Of the 6,948 studies identified in the databases, 33 were included in this review. From the meta-analysis results, it was found that multimorbidity, regardless of the country's wealth, was linked to hospitalization in older adults (OR = 2.52, CI 95% = 1.87-3.38). Both definitions of multimorbidity, ≥2 (OR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.34-4.12) and ≥3 morbidities (OR = 2.52, 95% CI = 1.87-3.38), were associated with hospitalization. Regardless of gender, multimorbidity was associated with hospitalization (OR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.67-2.34) and with readmission (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.04-1.09). However, it was not possible to verify the association between multimorbidity and length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: Multimorbidity was linked to a higher hospitalization risk, and this risk was not affected by the country's wealth and patient's gender. Multimorbidity was also linked to a higher hospital readmission rate in older adults. PROSPERO Registration (Registration number: CRD42021229328).

Identifying multimorbidity clusters among Brazilian older adults using network analysis: Findings and perspectives.

In aging populations, multimorbidity (MM) is a significant challenge for health systems, however there are scarce evidence available in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, particularly in Brazil. A national cross-sectional study was conducted with 11,177 Brazilian older adults to evaluate the occurrence of MM and related clusters in Brazilians aged ≥ 60 years old. MM was assessed by a list of 16 physical and mental morbidities and it was defined considering ≥ 2 morbidities. The frequencies of MM and its associated factors were analyzed. After this initial approach, a network analysis was performed to verify the occurrence of clusters of MM and the network of interactions between coexisting morbidities. The occurrence of MM was 58.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 57.0-60.2). Hypertension (50.6%) was the most frequent morbidity and it was present all combinations of morbidities. Network analysis has demonstrated 4 MM clusters: 1) cardiometabolic; 2) respiratory + cancer; 3) musculoskeletal; and 4) a mixed mental illness + other diseases. Depression was the most central morbidity in the model according to nodes' centrality measures (strength, closeness, and betweenness) followed by heart disease, and low back pain. Similarity in male and female networks was observed with a conformation of four clusters of MM and cancer as an isolated morbidity. The prevalence of MM in the older Brazilians was high, especially in female sex and persons living in the South region of Brazil. Use of network analysis could be an important tool for identifying MM clusters and address the appropriate health care, research, and medical education for older adults in Brazil.

Multimorbidity patterns and hospitalisation occurrence in adults and older adults aged 50 years or over.

Multimorbidity is highly prevalent in older adults and can lead to hospitalisation. We investigate the prevalence, associated factors, and multimorbidity pattern associated to hospitalisation, readmission, and length of stay in the population aged 50 years and older. We analysed baseline data (2015-2016) from the ELSI-Brazil cohort, a representative sample of non-institutionalised Brazilians aged ≥ 50 years. In total, 8807 individuals aged ≥ 50 years were included. Poisson regression with robust variance adjusted for confounders was used to verify the associations with hospitalisation. Multiple linear regression was used to analyse the associations with readmission and length of stay. Network analysis was conducted using 19 morbidities and the outcome variables. In 8807 participants, the prevalence of hospitalisation was 10.0% (95% CI 9.1, 11), mean readmissions was 1.55 ± 1.191, and mean length of stay was 6.43 ± 10.46 days. Hospitalisation was positively associated with male gender, not living with a partner, not having ingested alcoholic beverages in the last month, and multimorbidity. For hospital readmission, only multimorbidity ≥ 3 chronic conditions showed a statistically significant association. Regarding the length of stay, the risk was positive for males and negative for living in rural areas. Five disease groups connected to hospitalisation, readmission and length of stay were identified. To conclude, sociodemographic variables, such as gender, age group, and living in urban areas, and multimorbidity increased the risk of hospitalisation, mean number of readmissions, and mean length of stay. Through network analysis, we identified the groups of diseases that increased the risk of hospitalisation, readmissions, and length of stay.

Effect of urinary incontinence on negative self-perception of health and depression in elderly adults: a population-based cohort. / Efeito da incontinência urinária na autopercepção negativa da saúde e depressão em idosos: uma coorte de base populacional.

The scope of this study was to measure the prevalence of negative self-perceived health and depressive symptoms in elderly adults according to the presence of urinary incontinence, after a follow-up of nine years. This is a prospective population-based cohort study entitled Bagé Cohort Study of Aging, from Rio Grande do Sul. A total of 1,593 elderly adults were interviewed in the baseline study (2008) and 735 between September 2016 and August 2017. The "urinary incontinence (UI)" exposure was assessed in the baseline study and the outcomes "negative self-perceived health" and "depressive symptoms" in 2016/17. The odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were calculated by Logistic Regression and adjusted for demographic, social, behavioral and health conditions. The prevalence of UI was 20.7% in 2008 and 24.5% in 2016/17; the incidence was 19.8%, being 23.8% among women and 14.6% among men (p = 0.009). Elderly adults with UI at the baseline study had a 4.0 (CI95%: 1.8-8.8) and a 3.4 (CI95%: 1.8-6.2) greater chance to develop negative self-perception of health and depressive symptoms, respectively, after nine years of follow-up, compared to those without UI. The results show a greater probability of mental problems among elderly adults with UI.

Objetivou-se medir a prevalência de autopercepção negativa da saúde e sintomas depressivos em idosos segundo a presença de incontinência urinária, após nove anos de acompanhamento. Trata-se de um estudo de coorte prospectivo de base populacional intitulado Saúde do Idoso Gaúcho de Bagé, no Rio Grande do Sul. Foram entrevistados 1.593 idosos no estudo de linha de base (2008) e 735 entre setembro de 2016 e agosto de 2017. A exposição "incontinência urinária (IU)" foi avaliada no estudo de linha de base e os desfechos "autopercepção negativa da saúde" e "sintomas depressivos" em 2016/17. A razão de odds e o intervalo de confiança de 95% foram calculados com regressão logística bruta e ajustada para variáveis demográficas, sociais, comportamentais e de condições de saúde. A prevalência de IU foi 20,7% em 2008 e 24,5% em 2016/17; a incidência foi de 19,8%, sendo 23,8% entre as mulheres e 14,6% entre os homens (p = 0,009). Idosos com IU no estudo de linha de base apresentaram chances 4,0 (IC95%:1,8-8,8) e 3,4 (IC95%:1,8-6,2) vezes maior de desenvolver autopercepção negativa da saúde e sintomas depressivos, respectivamente, após nove anos de acompanhamento, comparados àqueles sem IU. Os resultados evidenciam maior chance de problemas mentais entre idosos com IU.

Efeito da incontinência urinária na autopercepção negativa da saúde e depressão em idosos: uma coorte de base populacional / Effect of urinary incontinence on negative self-perception of health and depression in elderly adults: a population-based cohort

Resumo Objetivou-se medir a prevalência de autopercepção negativa da saúde e sintomas depressivos em idosos segundo a presença de incontinência urinária, após nove anos de acompanhamento. Trata-se de um estudo de coorte prospectivo de base populacional intitulado Saúde do Idoso Gaúcho de Bagé, no Rio Grande do Sul. Foram entrevistados 1.593 idosos no estudo de linha de base (2008) e 735 entre setembro de 2016 e agosto de 2017. A exposição "incontinência urinária (IU)" foi avaliada no estudo de linha de base e os desfechos "autopercepção negativa da saúde" e "sintomas depressivos" em 2016/17. A razão de odds e o intervalo de confiança de 95% foram calculados com regressão logística bruta e ajustada para variáveis demográficas, sociais, comportamentais e de condições de saúde. A prevalência de IU foi 20,7% em 2008 e 24,5% em 2016/17; a incidência foi de 19,8%, sendo 23,8% entre as mulheres e 14,6% entre os homens (p = 0,009). Idosos com IU no estudo de linha de base apresentaram chances 4,0 (IC95%:1,8-8,8) e 3,4 (IC95%:1,8-6,2) vezes maior de desenvolver autopercepção negativa da saúde e sintomas depressivos, respectivamente, após nove anos de acompanhamento, comparados àqueles sem IU. Os resultados evidenciam maior chance de problemas mentais entre idosos com IU.

Abstract The scope of this study was to measure the prevalence of negative self-perceived health and depressive symptoms in elderly adults according to the presence of urinary incontinence, after a follow-up of nine years. This is a prospective population-based cohort study entitled Bagé Cohort Study of Aging, from Rio Grande do Sul. A total of 1,593 elderly adults were interviewed in the baseline study (2008) and 735 between September 2016 and August 2017. The "urinary incontinence (UI)" exposure was assessed in the baseline study and the outcomes "negative self-perceived health" and "depressive symptoms" in 2016/17. The odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were calculated by Logistic Regression and adjusted for demographic, social, behavioral and health conditions. The prevalence of UI was 20.7% in 2008 and 24.5% in 2016/17; the incidence was 19.8%, being 23.8% among women and 14.6% among men (p = 0.009). Elderly adults with UI at the baseline study had a 4.0 (CI95%: 1.8-8.8) and a 3.4 (CI95%: 1.8-6.2) greater chance to develop negative self-perception of health and depressive symptoms, respectively, after nine years of follow-up, compared to those without UI. The results show a greater probability of mental problems among elderly adults with UI.

Incidence of multimorbidity and associated factors during the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil: a cohort study

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, access to healthcare services may have become difficult, which may have led to an increase in chronic diseases and multimorbidity. OBJECTIVES: To assess the incidence of multimorbidity and its associated factors among adults living in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cohort study conducted in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. METHODS: We included data from the two waves of the Prospective Study About Mental and Physical Health (PAMPA). Data were collected via online questionnaires between June and July 2020 (wave 1) and between December 2020 and January 2021 (wave 2). Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more diagnosed medical conditions. RESULTS: In total, 516 individuals were included, among whom 27.1% (95% confidence interval, CI: 23.5-31.1) developed multimorbidity from wave 1 to 2. In adjusted regression models, female sex (hazard ratio, HR: 1.97; 95% CI: 1.19-3.24), middle-aged adults (31-59 years) (HR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.18-2.70) and older adults (60 or over) (HR: 2.41; 95% CI: 1.25-4.61) showed higher risk of multimorbidity. Back pain (19.4%), high cholesterol (13.3%) and depression (12.2%) were the medical conditions with the highest proportions reported by the participants during wave 2. CONCLUSION: The incidence of multimorbidity during a six-month period during the COVID-19 pandemic was 27.1% in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.

Incidence of multimorbidity and associated factors during the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, access to healthcare services may have become difficult, which may have led to an increase in chronic diseases and multimorbidity. OBJECTIVES: To assess the incidence of multimorbidity and its associated factors among adults living in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cohort study conducted in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. METHODS: We included data from the two waves of the Prospective Study About Mental and Physical Health (PAMPA). Data were collected via online questionnaires between June and July 2020 (wave 1) and between December 2020 and January 2021 (wave 2). Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more diagnosed medical conditions. RESULTS: In total, 516 individuals were included, among whom 27.1% (95% confidence interval, CI: 23.5-31.1) developed multimorbidity from wave 1 to 2. In adjusted regression models, female sex (hazard ratio, HR: 1.97; 95% CI: 1.19-3.24), middle-aged adults (31-59 years) (HR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.18-2.70) and older adults (60 or over) (HR: 2.41; 95% CI: 1.25-4.61) showed higher risk of multimorbidity. Back pain (19.4%), high cholesterol (13.3%) and depression (12.2%) were the medical conditions with the highest proportions reported by the participants during wave 2. CONCLUSION: The incidence of multimorbidity during a six-month period during the COVID-19 pandemic was 27.1% in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.